What have done towards your prep?

[Mortblanc]

(18 May 2017, 17:05)Straight Shooter Wrote: The place i buy wheat grain is STILL OUT OF STOCK ! given the USA has lost 30% of grain production due to snow and bad weather it should come as no surprise along with shortages in other parts of the world will most certainly mean the price WILL go up ....so i had to order 25Ks of flour instead .....it arrived yesterday and today put into 30ltr plastic kegs and ready to plant ....two off .

The actual production is down 25% from the record overproduction bumper crop of 2016 (which was up 12% from 2015) and is a reaction to the lower prices produced by the overproduction and not so much a crop failure.

A year of lowered production often follows the lower prices of a bumper crop. Overproduction looks good in the statistics but is often terrible for the grower, who switches to soy beans or maize the following year.

Over here we have several states that devote their entire production to wheat, (North and South Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas) while other areas, and wheat is grown in every region, rotate production to other crops based on supply and demand. When those marginal wheat regions switch to other crops it affects the annual yield of wheat but increases other crops.

The way the growing season works here a bad spring and lower wheat crop, mostly winter wheat, means the farmers trash the wheat crop and plant over it with maize or soy beans.