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+--- Thread: Korea Sitrep (/showthread.php?tid=8699)
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Korea Sitrep - CharlesHarris - 20 April 2017
Korea Sitrep
George Friedman discusses what war with North Korea might look like. Note that he puts emphasis on having good intelligence. See below an assessment of US intelligence.
http://info.geopoliticalfutures.com/friedmans-weekly-0
Former NSA counterintelligence office believes that for US intelligence, North Korea is a black hole. He also points out that N. Korea has not been shy about attacking US military and S. Korea assets.
http://observer.com/2017/04/north-korea ... -test-cia/
Commentary from a serving officer personally known to me who is on the ground in Korea:
"Interesting articles. Not sure I agree with the tactics of a preemptive strike. Things could have changed since back when DPRK sank the Chonin in the West Sea. ROK was more than a little upset about that one.
"Two years ago there was a substantial artillery duel across the DMZ. Much directed at the US training area for the exercise. DPRK took the worst of it, by a long shot.
"The north has a vast number of tubes. No telling what their maintenance status is on any given day, or ammo stocks. I think their capabilities are routinely overestimated to stir up fear and loathing.
"The terrain here is no joke. There's no mounted maneuver outside the 4 main north-south mobility corridors. That means cannons don't move south without detection and interdiction.
"The US keeps a large Multiple launch Rocket System unit and a huge attack helicopter brigade here for a reason. It's a nice package for suppressing enemy air defense in support of helicopter deep attack. Those RF Hellfires are simply a thing of wonder. When not doing SEAD, the MLRS do a great job in their counter-battery role. Good gear to have around.
"We can't keep Seoul completely safe from DPRK artillery. We can shut it down relatively quickly, even in bad weather that limits fixed wing assets.
"I am not worried about DPRK cannons and I live inside their long range systems range fan.
"I won't comment on intel other than to say it's not the black hole it's advertised to be. It's not as easy as Iraq where we had lots of sources, but we are far from blind.
"Could Trump stumble into a war here? Sure. Anything is possible. He would have to try pretty hard to do it tho.
"The best way to deal with all this is to call Kim's bluff. Something like a UN Security Council resolution that terminates authority for United Nations Command and establishing the DMZ as the new border. Concurrently the US and ROK offer a one page peace treaty declaring end of hostilities. The mechanics of this are a little tedious but it can be done unilaterally.
"No more frozen conflict, and no more excuses for provocation. Future aggression can be dealt with as a new tort without the distortion of past battles.
"If DPRK declines those terms, then it's clear they have evil intent. Then a case can be made for protecting civilized states.
RE: Korea Sitrep - Jonas - 20 April 2017
The NORK's "crazy fat kid" seems determined to kick off a war. Our intel is actually pretty good on the NORK's troop movements, emplacements, and capability. We do have to "cut off the head" quickly, then contact one or two of their generals who can issue a "stand down" order and stop the war in its tracks. Tricky, but do-able.
RE: Korea Sitrep - Garth - 2 May 2017
What do you guys think is causing the missiles they keep trying to send out to explode within seconds?
RE: Korea Sitrep - harrypalmer - 2 May 2017
mechanical failure, look back at how many rockets failed in NASA's early days.
RE: Korea Sitrep - CharlesHarris - 2 May 2017
John Bolton is the only talking head that gets it. I just saw him on FNC say that the Chinese have been playing the US for 40 years. "They give with one hand and take with the other." He said that they have been faking getting a handle on Korea for decades.
RE: Korea Sitrep - harrypalmer - 3 May 2017
Just looked him up, yet another American right wing homophobic and of course I believe every word he says
Come on Charles, I thought better of you
RE: Korea Sitrep - Mortblanc - 3 May 2017
Skilled usage of extremist labels HP. Prejudice the reader before offering any real credentials.
UN Undersecretary.
Assistant Attorney General
Recommended for US Secretary of State
Probably one of the most intelligent men in world politics, which makes him totally unacceptable to the average socialist.
RE: Korea Sitrep - CharlesHarris - 3 May 2017
HP, you might look up Tom Nichols as well, who agrees with Bolton's assessment.
A couple links for you.
https://www.extension.harvard.edu/faculty-directory/thomas-m-nichols
https://www.usnwc.edu/Academics/Faculty/Thomas-M--Nichols,-Ph-D-.aspx
And Nichols is NOT a Trump drone:
http://www.breitbart.com/national-security/2016/07/29/u-s-naval-war-college-wont-discipline-professor-tom-nichols-blasting-trump-violation-guidelines/
RE: Korea Sitrep - harrypalmer - 4 May 2017
Shite, you agree with the numpty Charles, still does not give the guy credibility LOL
RE: Korea Sitrep - Mortblanc - 5 May 2017
(4 May 2017, 21:01)harrypalmer Wrote: Shite, you agree with the numpty Charles, still does not give the guy credibility LOL
Your opposition means he is highly intelligent and one of the great thinkers of our time.