Chances

[cryingfreeman]

I don't believe the cities will disgorge their populations and set off "golden horde" swarms roaming the countryside. Smaller bands at the top of the food pile - weeks or even months after a major grid-down crisis begins - would be more likely, but not in the numbers suggested by mainstream American survivalist thought. If you consider Argentina during the 2001 crisis, people migrated the other way, i.e., the rural population fled to the cities looking for work, emergency aid, crime opportunities (i.e. burglary and looting), etc. That gives those survivalists based in the countryside, especially in my favoured region (NW Scotland), time to get their community organised in case any raiders do make it there.