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29 May 2012, 22:36
My projection:
The economic malaise will deteriorate until the USD loses its status as the world's reserve currency and infrastructure failures start occurring in the west. Then there will be a crime explosion and civil unrest on a scale unimaginable.
In the midst of this, a major "deep event" will occur of the mushroom variety, probably in an "expendable" part of the USA, e.g. New Orleans.
The outrage will be milked to the hilt and this event will serve as a sobering tonic for the angry masses on the one hand (making a total lockdown and roundup of dissidents more tolerable), and on the other hand an emotive rallying point to gain carte blanche for waging unfettered preemptive warfare against the alleged perpetrators who "struck us when we were on our knees". This will entail Iran, Syria or NK (depending on who the patsy is) being bombarded then overrun for their alleged role in the greatest act of state sponsored terror the world has ever seen.
As this new war rages, Russia and China will launch a massive preemptive decapitating attack on the western military infrastructure (facilitated by the USA's policy of absorbing a first strike), aiming to simultaneously take down all land-based ICBMs and B-2 bases, leaving the west with only whatever Ohios and Tridents are still at sea at the time.
Russia will then overrun Europe while China attacks Japan, Australia, NZ amongst others, leaving the USA to spiral into incomprehensible domestic turmoil.
RATIONALE (not exhaustive):
* Clinton's odd decision, mandated by Dubya Bush, to absorb a first strike.
* The historic western military doctrine of mass casualty events as a means of effecting dramatic change, for example, the willingness to send vast numbers of young men to their certain deaths in WW1 on the presumption that the scale of the loss of life would so horrify the enemy that they would sue for peace. Only this time, they may be willing to sacrifice millions - or billions - of their own citizens to bring about this goal while they themselves lurk in hardened shelters "with the fat wheezy boys with a note from matron", waiting for the results of their nuclear game of chicken to come in.
* Russia's desire to exert hegemonic influence over, and extract economic benefit from, Europe.
* China's desire to pay Japan back for WW2 and its need / desire for a "Lebensraum" of its own.
The economic malaise will deteriorate until the USD loses its status as the world's reserve currency and infrastructure failures start occurring in the west. Then there will be a crime explosion and civil unrest on a scale unimaginable.
In the midst of this, a major "deep event" will occur of the mushroom variety, probably in an "expendable" part of the USA, e.g. New Orleans.
The outrage will be milked to the hilt and this event will serve as a sobering tonic for the angry masses on the one hand (making a total lockdown and roundup of dissidents more tolerable), and on the other hand an emotive rallying point to gain carte blanche for waging unfettered preemptive warfare against the alleged perpetrators who "struck us when we were on our knees". This will entail Iran, Syria or NK (depending on who the patsy is) being bombarded then overrun for their alleged role in the greatest act of state sponsored terror the world has ever seen.
As this new war rages, Russia and China will launch a massive preemptive decapitating attack on the western military infrastructure (facilitated by the USA's policy of absorbing a first strike), aiming to simultaneously take down all land-based ICBMs and B-2 bases, leaving the west with only whatever Ohios and Tridents are still at sea at the time.
Russia will then overrun Europe while China attacks Japan, Australia, NZ amongst others, leaving the USA to spiral into incomprehensible domestic turmoil.
RATIONALE (not exhaustive):
* Clinton's odd decision, mandated by Dubya Bush, to absorb a first strike.
* The historic western military doctrine of mass casualty events as a means of effecting dramatic change, for example, the willingness to send vast numbers of young men to their certain deaths in WW1 on the presumption that the scale of the loss of life would so horrify the enemy that they would sue for peace. Only this time, they may be willing to sacrifice millions - or billions - of their own citizens to bring about this goal while they themselves lurk in hardened shelters "with the fat wheezy boys with a note from matron", waiting for the results of their nuclear game of chicken to come in.
* Russia's desire to exert hegemonic influence over, and extract economic benefit from, Europe.
* China's desire to pay Japan back for WW2 and its need / desire for a "Lebensraum" of its own.