rural population

[BDG]

(27 September 2013, 17:25)Mortblanc Wrote: Do the math for your 15 mile circle!

OK. I will write the numbers down. So we are saying that in a 15 mile radius circle, 400,000 people live, and that:

(27 September 2013, 17:25)Mortblanc Wrote: Even with a 90% die off the population density will still be 250 psm.

When 90% of those people are dead, their will be 250 people per square mile and so you can make the statement:

(27 September 2013, 17:25)Mortblanc Wrote: Subsistence agriculture will not support that population.

OK, so to calculate the area of a circle, its PiR^2. So

3.14162X15X15= 706.8645 square miles.

When 400,000 live in 706.8645 square miles, that is a population density of 565.88 per square mile. There are 640 acres in a square mile.

That 1.13 acres per person, as it stands. Granted, not all of them are useful for farming.

However, if we have a 90% die off, that means we really only have 56.5 people per square mile in that area. That would mean there was 11.3 acres per person.

I think people would get by on that.

What other maths should we do?






No die off in the history of GB has been more than 30%. That will leave you more than 1,000 psm. 64 PEOPLE PER ACRE!

Your little patch of wilderness is going to be flooded with "locals" stripping the trees for firewood and eating anything that can not outrun them. You are already having trouble hiding you "stealth camp" from the dog walkers, wait until the woods is flooded with people hunting every plant, animal and grub they can possibly eat.

And that is just your small rural area with no migration from the "population centers".

Do not fall into the trap of believing that starving city dwellers will do the logical and rational thing, stay on the roads and obey the traffic lights as they empty the warehouses, dutifully heading back home to wife and family with their plunder.

Neither will "family ties" keep them close to home. For the worst of the lot the gang is their family and they are not sure which kid from which girl belongs to whom. No connections to even break there.

Even among the members of this group "family connections" do not exist for all practical purposes. We have discussed family shortcomings often enough and I have noticed many here do not even consider a spouse in their planning.

One must also consider all those urban preppers that have planned the place you are sitting as their "bug out location". After all, only a fraction of the people on this very board own/have legal claim to the locations they intend to occupy post-shtf.

It's a jungle out there!
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