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Devon and Cornwall will be inundated with refugees? Ifs, maybes, and conjecture
23 March 2014, 12:57,
#49
RE: Devon and Cornwall will be inundated with refugees? Ifs, maybes, and conjecture
The South West (West Country), it has 2.2 million people already living there but not enough water or sewage capacity in peak times even now, It does not even generate enough power for its own needs, much of its available fresh water is pumped not gravity fed, it’s a small peninsular with only two primary road routes in and out and three rail lines falling to one just after Exeter, but has millions of small roads, lanes and paths that are almost impossible to secure crisscrossing the region.
It’s heavily covered with lots of still serviceable former WW2 airbases. Multiple news articles and reports from organisations such as Tourism agencies and Motoring Associations already reports that there is a large shortfall in the number of petrol stations in the region and I believe it has no local fuel refining capabilities.
Huge parts of it are very vulnerable to flooding and storm damage, it has little or no coal or natural gas deposits of note. Its only 90 minutes from London and Birmingham by road or rail, and only 12 hours by small boat, making it a highly desirable location for refugees to decamp to in a crisis. Its wet climate is good in general for agriculture but only so long as the precipitation and its effects can be controlled, once the power goes off huge swathes will return to swampland. A massive influx of refugees from the Home Counties or the Midlands heading south west would have no other option but to remain there as it is a peninsular and there would be no onward destinations unwanted refugees could be encouraged to move to. It is and will be the most tempting and convenient destination of choice for immense numbers of dispossessed people fleeing Britain’s biggest two urban conurbations in a crisis.
One point to be given serious consideration would be that if any sort of state apparatus still exists in the UK there is a fair chance much of it will be in the area of Bath Somerset where you have facilities such as GCHQ, and the massive MOD and government super bunker in Corsham, Some consideration must be given to the fact that if any of the government survives it would do so there and be well protected and armed, We must consider that there is a case that refugees heading west from London along the M4 corridor and refugees heading south down the M6 corridor are likely to be deflected and redirected south west through Dorset and North Somerset into the West Country.
London itself has 8.174 million people according to Wiki that is only those legally documented some sources estimated over 500,000 more live in the area illegally or unrecorded. The Birmingham conurbation has a further 2.440 million people, then all the other medium cities and towns from places like Reading to Bath, to Bristol, Gloster , Coventry etc can add their populations to the calculation. It is not unfair to suggest upwards of 15 million people could be brought up for consideration into a displaced persons scenario. If you hack away savagely at those numbers possibly heading for the sanctuary of the South West , large numbers of stay at homes (history has shown us there are always plenty of people who choose to make a stand on familiar territory, but equally it has also shown us that many of those stay at home will flee later on if epidemics break out, this often leads to infected late arrivals in refugee areas bringing chaos with them. Then people who divert to Wales (from Brum) or Kent area (Londoners), people whose resources are depleted before they reach the south west, people who are turned back, people who die, people who find sanctuary before reaching the west country etc it could be a fair assumption that you will still find the population of the West Country doubling from 2.2 million to nearly 5 million within only a few weeks of a disaster with thousands more trickling in in the following weeks and months.
Once the initial wave of motorised refugees have been accounted for you will find plenty more arriving by bicycle, foot, horse, canoe, canal boat, coastal boats, helicopter, small aircraft etc for weeks and weeks after the initial waves of refugees.
But hey those already who have relocated to the area have already worked out the risks and scenarios, logistics and resources to the nth degree I mean apart from folks like BP born and raised in the area surely no intelligent well researched prepper would move to another area without carrying out a full and comprehensive risk analysis WOULD THEY ?.

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RE: Devon and Cornwall will be inundated with refugees? Ifs, maybes, and conjecture - by NorthernRaider - 23 March 2014, 12:57

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