Ukraine

[LAC]

My betting is Mr P will shore up the Dombas region and make Belarus a Russian vassal state creating a buffer zone (and permanent armed deterant), in keeping with that Russian tradition of buffer states. The Russian energy sector goes from strength to strength, why risk a full invasion when they have the black sea resources already? So the question is more likely, will he go further than that?

Men in Black knocking on your door to take your corned beef? If it gets to that level they will be too busy with riot control and managing supermarket lines. Preppers are still a tiny minority and I really can't see governments devoting resources to them in such extreme situations, they would more likely be involved in large security and food allocation operations from large existing food stores.