Ukraine

[Tartar Horde]

China will take Taiwan, it is inevitable, sad but true. Whether or not this will initiate the "Thucydides" trap were a rising power with territorial ambitions inevitably comes up against one already in place remains to be seen. There are only two possible outcomes, Taiwan falls and the other parties do nothing, or Taiwan falls and they react. My background is in History/Archaeology and I know which way patterns play out through all the preceding times and civilisations, the times change but patterns don't. I have a few thoughts and projections on possible outcomes using history as a basis, some of them quite unpopular I'm sure, but none made with any emotional attachment just cold facts.