Did we just switch Fear models

[Joe]

LAC if you wait until the bombs drop then you won’t get anywhere, if you anticipate what’s coming and move early then Argentina is easily accessible via air travel. Like I said above it’s not easy and I suspect few would try it, the world will be in a very poor state but I’m highlighting what you would need to do to give yourself any chance. If you think it’s not possible then fair enough. However if you want to give yourself any odds above zero then you need to look into the mechanics of the event and try to understand the mechanisms at play. As I explained above you will be looking at three distinct stages, each one will be trying to kill you.
The bottom line is no one knows what the real chances are, not even the experts because it’s something we’ve not tried. So yes you could be correct.