Food restrictions

[Mortblanc]

Have you guys not heard?

There is a war on in the land that provides most of your sunflower seed oil, rape seed oil and 25% of the world wheat exports. Russia produces 37% of the wheat exports. That is instant loss of 62% of the world wheat.

Even if they are producing they can not get their products out of the black sea ports due to no insurance being available for shippers going into a war zone and the new restrictions on Russia. There are not a bunch of boats lined up in the Black sea waiting for peace talks to happen.

Then there is that fertilizer thing. Guess where most of Europe's potash and natural gas for fertilizer production comes from? Yep, Russia.

Even here in the states we have farmers that are not planting this year due to not the lack of fertilizer, but due to its price. The fertilizer will cost more than the crop will bring.

Now this fertilizer thing was going on before the Ukraine War was a thing. Farmers over here were already checking out of this years crop back in January.

The last projections I read were for a drop of production, world wide, of 50% this year. World food supply will be cut in half.

That is this year, not two years down the road so we can prepare for it, not due to replacement crops or drought, natural disaster or crop failure.

Only being able to purchase two bottles of oil per trip to the shop is the least of the worries. Soon your shopkeeper will replace "you can only have two bottles" with "We ain't got any!".

Chances are that it is already too late to "grow it yourself". There may be no fertilizer and the days of mucking out the barn to dump it on the garden is long past. Besides, that stuff has to cure for a while or it will burn the crop up.